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Could the Democrats be wrong about the Iraq war?

Bartle Bull is very opimistic about the war. He says that the political fighting is over and all that is left is internecine arguments and riff raff killing each other. He says this was inevitable: that the 80% of Iraqis who are Shiias would win. The Sunnis, he says, are suing for peace and trying to get the best deal then can.

Thanks to catching the tail end of Prager after the apparently interviewed Bull, I found his article, on his web site I think. Prager was chortling merrily about "we're winning in Iraq."

There are some interesting comments in a "draft" discussion of Bull's article. Bull does depict the Iraqis as driven by a desire for oil money and for political autonomy for their respective regions. Like most optimistic authors he doesn't mention the fact that the Shiias want an Islamic state under Sharia law. Bull says the Shiias will have their state eventually, which means that they will eventually have their Islamic state. Is that something to be optimistic about?
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